2021 John Deere Classic odds: Surprising PGA picks, golf predictions from model that called Rahm’s win


Steve Stricker has been absolutely dominant at the John Deere Classic over the years. In fact, Stricker has finished on top of the John Deere Classic leaderboard three times in his career, the most recent being in 2011. Stricker won this event three years in a row from 2009-2011. Stricker could certainly be in the mix again this week when the 2021 John Deere Classic gets underway from TPC Deere Run on Thursday, July 8.

Stricker, a 12-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as a 40-1 long shot in the 2021 John Deere Classic odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Daniel Berger is listed as the 9-1 favorite, while Brian Harman (14-1), Sungjae Im (16-1) and Russell Henley (18-1) are next in line on the PGA odds board. Before locking in your 2021 John Deere Classic picks, be sure to see the PGA Tour predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed last June. In fact, it’s up over $8,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

At the 2021 U.S. Open, McClure’s model was all over Jon Rahm’s first career major championship victory at 10-1 from the start. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model also projected him as the winner at that point. And at the 2021 Masters, McClure nailed Rahm’s (+250) top-five finish in his best bets, as well as Corey Conners’ (+550) top-10 showing. McClure’s best bets netted over $450 at the Masters.

In addition, McClure was all over Berger’s win at +1400 in his best bets at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in February. McClure also nailed Viktor Hovland’s (+2500) victory in the Mayakoba Golf Classic in December. Those are just some of the many huge calls he’s made in the past several months.

This same model has also nailed a whopping seven majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2021 John Deere Classic field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2021 John Deere Classic leaderboard and John Deere Classic 2021 expert picks.

The model’s top 2021 John Deere Classic predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2021 John Deere Classic: Streelman, who has multiple PGA Tour wins and is fifth on the odds board, struggles mightily and doesn’t even crack the top 10. The Illinois native has had mixed success in his home state and across eight previous appearances at TPC Deere Run. He has three top-10 finishes over that span but also has missed the cut three times and finished outside the top 40 two other times.

The greens at TPC Deere Run are enormous, so those who are good with a putter in their hands will often post low scores. That’s where Streelman falls short as he ranks outside the top 100 in strokes gained via putting (.053). He also has other poor putting metrics, ranking 132nd in overall putting average (1.613) and 152nd in one-putt percentage (38.6). Birdies should be easy to come by at the John Deere Classic 2021, but only if you can make the most of your putting opportunities and Streelman hasn’t done that thus far.

Another surprise: Ryan Moore, a massive 40-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. Moore has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

Moore doesn’t explode off the tee quite as much as some of the other top contenders, but he enters this week’s event ranked fifth in driving accuracy percentage (71.40). Moore’s ability to consistently find the fairway off the tee has helped him rack up 124 birdies in 38 rounds this season. 

The 38-year-old has also proven he has the game to compete at TPC Deere Run, firing three rounds of 67 or lower in 2019. He has all the tools needed to be in the mix on Sunday, making him a solid choice for 2021 John Deere Classic bets this week.

How to make 2021 John Deere Classic picks

The model is targeting four other golfers with 2021 John Deere Classic odds of 40-1 or higher to make a strong run at the title. Its best bets also include a massive long shot higher than 80-1 that would net any bettor an epic payday. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who will win the John Deere Classic 2021? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 John Deere Classic leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed seven golf majors and is up over $8,000 since the restart.

2021 John Deere Classic odds

Daniel Berger 9-1
Brian Harman 14-1
Sungjae Im 16-1
Russell Henley 18-1
Kevin Streelman 22-1
Cameron Davis 28-1
Alex Noren 30-1
Seamus Power 33-1
Si-Woo Kim 33-1
Troy Merritt 40-1
Maverick McNealy 40-1
Ryan Moore 40-1
Hank Lebioda 40-1
Zach Johnson 40-1
Patton Kizzire 40-1
Steve Stricker 40-1
Aaron Wise 40-1
Kevin Na 40-1
Lucas Glover 50-1
Doug Ghim 50-1
Jhonattan Vegas 50-1
Doc Redman 50-1
Kyle Stanley 50-1
Harold Varner 55-1
Chez Reavie 60-1
Sepp Straka 60-1
Sebastian Munoz 60-1
Tom Lewis 66-1
Dylan Frittelli 66-1
Charles Howell 66-1
Beau Hossler 66-1
Richy Werenski 66-1
J.T. Poston 66-1
Pat Perez 70-1
Erik Van Rooyen 70-1
Patrick Rodgers 70-1
Mito Pereira 80-1
C.T. Pan 80-1
Keith Mitchell 80-1
Luke List 80-1
Kramer Hickok 80-
Scott Stallings 80-1
Henrik Norlander 90-1
Mark Hubbard 90-1
Brice Garnett 100-1
Roger Sloan 100-1
Brian Stuard 125-1
Hudson Swafford 125-1
Nick Taylor 125-1
Byeong Hun An 125-1
Bo Hoag 125-1
Satoshi Kodaira 125-1
Denny McCarthy 125-1
Ryan Armour 125-1
Matthew NeSmith 125-1
Michael Thompson 125-1
Andrew Putnam 125-1
Robert Streb 125-1
Scott Piercy 125-1
Jim Herman 125-1
Chesson Hadley 125-1
Cameron Champ 125-1
Tyler Duncan 125-1
Vaughn Taylor 125-1
Brandon Hagy 125-1
Harry Higgs 150-1
John Huh 150-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 150-1
Andrew Landry 150-1
Vincent Whaley 150-1
Martin Laird 150-1
Will Gordon 150-1
Mark Anderson 150-1
Rory Sabbatini 150-1
Ben Martin 150-1
Adam Schenk 150-1
Danny Lee 150-1
Adam Long 150-1
Joseph Bramlett 150-1
Sam Ryder 150-1
Bronson Burgoon 175-1
Richard S. Johnson 200-1
Johnson Wagner 200-1
Camilo Villegas 200-1
Wes Roach 200-1
Anirban Lahiri 200-1
Fabian Gomez 200-1
Cameron Percy 200-1
Peter Malnati 200-1
J.J. Spaun 200-1
Kevin Tway 200-1
Jason Dufner 200-1
Sean O’Hair 200-1
Scott Brown 200-1
J.B. Holmes 200-1
Aaron Baddeley 250-1
Chris Baker 250-1
Austin Cook 250-1
Bill Haas 250-1
Sung-Hoon Kang 250-1
Josh Teater 250-1
Chase Seiffert 250-1
Sangmoon Bae 300-1
Kris Ventura 300-1
David Lingmerth 300-1
Rhein Gibson 300-1
Jonas Blixt 300-1
Andres Romero 300-1
Bo Van Pelt 300-1
George McNeill 300-1
Ted Potter 300-1
Robby Shelton 300-1
Shawn Stefani 300-1
Nick Watney 300-1
Michael Gellerman 300-1
Scott Harrington 350-1
Jonathan Byrd 350-1
Martin Trainer 400-1
David Hearn 400-1
Kevin Stadler 400-1
Greg Chalmers 400-1
Sebastian Cappelen 400-1
Rob Oppenheim 400-1
Michael Gligic 400-1
Chad Proehl 500-1
John Senden 500-1
K.J. Choi 500-1
Luke Kluver 500-1
Dominic Bozzelli 500-1
Charlie Beljan 500-1
Grayson Murray 500-1
Nelson Ledesma 500-1
Brian Gay 500-1
Ryan Blaum 500-1
D.J. Trahan 500-1
Matt Every 500-1
Michael Kim 500-1
Ben Taylor 500-1
Ryan Brehm 500-1
Alex Schaake 500-1
Hunter Mahan 500-1
Rafael Campos 500-1
Michael Feagles 500-1
Ricky Barnes 500-1
Zack Sucher 500-1
Willie Mack 500-1
David Perkins 1000-1
D.A. Points 1000-1
Jason Bohn 1000-1
Mark Wilson 1000-1
Harrison Frazar 1000-1 





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