Charles Schwab Challenge 2022 picks, predictions, field, odds, bets: Golf expert says fade Scottie Scheffler

The wind is expected to be howling in Texas this weekend at the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge, which tees off Thursday at Fort Worth’s Colonial Country Club. Forecasts call for winds of more than 20 mph on Saturday and Sunday, so the Perry Maxwell-designed course could pose a serious challenge. Six of the world’s top 10 players are scheduled to compete, including No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and PGA champion Justin Thomas, who ranks fifth. Ninth-ranked Jordan Spieth seeks to continue his uncanny success at the course near his hometown, where he won in 2016 and has finished as a runner-up three times. No. 4 Collin Morikawa, seventh-ranked Viktor Hovland and No. 10 Sam Burns are among the other top golfers expected to be part of the Charles Schwab 2022 field.     

Scheffler is the 10-1 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge golf odds, despite missing the cut last week at Southern Hills. Thomas and Spieth are both listed at 12-1, followed by Morikawa (15-1), Hovland (20-1) and PGA runner-up Will Zalatoris (20-1). Max Homa is 25-1, and Burns and Tommy Fleetwood are both priced at 28-1 to win the Charles Schwab 2022 title. Before making any 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge picks or PGA Tour predictions, you really need to see what proven golf insider Sal Johnson has to say.

The esteemed golf insider has been around the game for many years and knows what it takes to win on the PGA Tour.

Before last week’s PGA Championship, Johnson predicted that if Thomas made his putts he could definitely win. Thomas had his best week of the season on the greens, gaining more than 1.5 strokes putting to rank second in the field. The result? He beat Will Zalatoris in a playoff to win his second major, and his second PGA Championship.    

In his previous set of predictions for SportsLine, Johnson nailed the Masters for the third time in four years. He backed Scheffler, saying he was “on a run where he has been hard to beat, and I see it rolling on at Augusta National.” The 25-year-old got his fourth victory of the season. 

Now Johnson, the first producer of “Inside the PGA Tour” and longtime ABC Sports golf producer who worked with Jack Nicklaus and Arnold Palmer, has released his highly confident 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge (see tickets at StubHub) picks and predictions. The picks from the founder of, the world’s top golf statistics database, will definitely surprise you. You can only see them at SportsLine.

Top 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge expert picks

One shocking choice: Johnson is fading Scheffler, who might need some time to regroup after his disastrous run at Southern Hills last week. The world’s No. 1 player had nine bogeys and a double-bogey over his 36 holes and was on the sideline for the weekend. Scheffler took a lot of time off after his Masters win, and Johnson wonders if that was the best thing for him in the midst of such a scorching run. “He looked rusty at the Byron Nelson, then looked utterly lost at the PGA,” Johnson says of Scheffler, and the expert isn’t banking on much from him this week.

On the flip side, Johnson knows this is one of Spieth’s most important tournaments of the year. And the three-time major champ has always found a way to succeed at Colonial. His worst finish is a tie for 32nd in 2018, when he was 5 under par. He has finished in the top 15 in his eight other starts, going 85 under over the 36 rounds in Fort Worth. Spieth has 13 career PGA Tour victories, including one at the RBC Heritage two months ago. He was second the following week at the Byron Nelson before tying for 34th at Southern Hills last week. He finished second to Jason Kokrak in last year’s Schwab, with a final-round 73 costing him his shot at victory.    

The expert also knows Morikawa is one of the best in the world from tee to green, and he expects the star’s accuracy to pay off this week. The two-time major champ is just 25, and he has six top-10’s and just one missed cut this season in 11 outings. Morikawa was the runner-up to Daniel Berger at Colonial in 2020 and was 14th last year. He shot in the 60’s in seven of those eight rounds. The five-time tour winner is 13th in greens in regulation (69.8 percent) and 16th in driving accuracy (68.2), and that should continue to translate to success in Fort Worth.

How to make 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge golf picks

Johnson is very high on a massive long shot at Colonial who comes in at around 100-1. “Here is a guy who could really surprise us all and win this week.” Johnson says of this veteran, and you can cash in huge if he pulls off the stunning result. You can only see the Johnson’s expert picks at SportsLine.

Who wins the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge this week in Fort Worth? Where do Jordan Spieth and Collin Morikawa finish? And which massive long shot is a must-back? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sal Johnson’s full leaderboard, picks and analysis for the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge, all from the insider who is tuned in to what it takes to win on the PGA Tour, and find out.

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds, field, top contenders

Scottie Scheffler 10-1 
Justin Thomas 12-1 
Jordan Spieth 14-1 
Collin Morikawa 16-1 
Viktor Hovland 18-1 
Will Zalatoris 20-1 
Max Homa 25-1 
Sam Burns 25-1 
Abraham Ancer 30-1 
Tommy Fleetwood 30-1 
Daniel Berger 35-1 
Tony Finau 35-1 
Sungjae Im 35-1 
Davis Riley 40-1 
Jason Kokrak 40-1 
Talor Gooch 40-1 
Billy Horschel 40-1 
Gary Woodland 45-1 
Mito Pereira 45-1 
Webb Simpson 45-1 
Justin Rose 50-1 
Kevin Na 50-1 
Harold Varner 50-1 
Chris Kirk 50-1 
Bubba Watson 50-1 
Bryson DeChambeau 50-1 
Maverick McNealy 50-1 
Sebastian Munoz 50-1 
Brian Harman 55-1 
Tom Hoge 55-1 
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 65-1 
Cameron Tringale 65-1 
Patrick Reed 65-1 
Rickie Fowler 65-1 
C.T. Pan 70-1 
Ryan Palmer 70-1 
Sepp Straka 80-1 
Cam Davis 80-1 
Erik Van Rooyen 80-1 
Kevin Kisner 80-1 
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 80-1 
Adam Long 90-1 
Troy Merritt 90-1 
Joel Dahmen 90-1 
Russell Knox 90-1 
Doug Ghim 90-1 
Patton Kizzire 100-1 
Ian Poulter 100-1 
Denny McCarthy 100-1 
Sahith Theegala 100-1 
Matt Jones 100-1 
David Lipsky 100-1 
Kevin Streelman 100-1 
Stewart Cink 100-1 
Aaron Rai 100-1 
Lucas Herbert 100-1 
Matthew NeSmith 100-1 
J.T. Poston 125-1 
Brendon Todd 125-1 
Lucas Glover 125-1 
Charl Schwartzel 125-1 
James Hahn 125-1 
J.J. Spaun 125-1 
Kurt Kitayama 125-1 
Brandon Wu 125-1 
Nate Lashley 125-1 
Dylan Frittelli 125-1 
Peter Malnati 150-1 
Patrick Rodgers 150-1 
Emiliano Grillo 150-1 
Alex Smalley 150-1 
Stephan Jaeger 150-1 
Rory Sabbatini 150-1 
Pat Perez 150-1 
Matthias Schwab 150-1 
Carlos Ortiz 150-1 
Chez Reavie 150-1 
Austin Smotherman 150-1 
Nick Taylor 150-1 
Taylor Moore 150-1 
Min Woo Lee 150-1 
Mark Hubbard 150-1 
Richard Bland 150-1 
Scott Stallings 150-1 
Adam Svensson 200-1 
Danny Lee 200-1 
Garrick Higgo 200-1 
Wyndham Clark 200-1 
Beau Hossler 200-1 
Chad Ramey 200-1 
Doc Redman 225-1 
Zach Johnson 250-1 
Michael Thompson 250-1 
Kramer Hickok 250-1 
Andrew Putnam 250-1 
Brian Stuard 250-1 
Adam Schenk 250-1 
Vince Whaley 250-1 
Brandt Snedeker 250-1 
Charley Hoffman 250-1 
Luke Donald 250-1 
Sam Ryder 250-1 
Robert Streb 300-1 
Harry Higgs 300-1 
Hayden Buckley 300-1 
Lee Hodges 300-1 
Tyler Duncan 300-1 
Paul Barjon 300-1 
Trey Mullinax 300-1 
Ryan Brehm 400-1 
Camilo Villegas 400-1 
Kevin Tway 400-1 
Martin Trainer 500-1 
Bill Haas 500-1 
Ty Strafaci 500-1 
Nick Watney 500-1 
Max McGreevy 500-1 
James Piot 500-1 
John Pak 500-1 
Erik Compton 500-1


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