Fantasy Football Rankings 2021: Sleepers, breakouts, busts from computer model that nailed Allen’s big year


Saints receiver Michael Thomas has been a Fantasy football stalwart for years, but he now faces major questions as he enters the 2021 NFL season. Not only will Thomas adjust to life after Drew Brees, but he’s also expected to miss multiple games to start the season as he deals with a lingering ankle issue. He’s falling in the 2021 Fantasy football rankings, but where should you target him with your 2021 Fantasy football picks?

That NFL news could also have an impact for potential New Orleans quarterback starters Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill, as well as other Saints skill position players like Alvin Kamara and Tre’Quan Smith. With NFL injury updates rolling in and depth charts adjusting throughout training camp, who are the top 2021 Fantasy football sleepers, breakouts and busts you need to know about? Before setting your 2021 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2021 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Bills quarterback Josh Allen was being drastically undervalued. His Fantasy football ADP was barely in the top 70, but the model pegged him as a top-five Fantasy quarterback, a QB1 who would finish well ahead of players like Kyler Murray, Tom Brady and Drew Brees. Allen ended up being the No. 2-scoring Fantasy QB, outscoring all three of those other quarterbacks and even surpassing Patrick Mahomes. Fantasy players who followed SportsLine’s advice reaped plenty of value with that pick. 

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying A.J. Brown as another sleeper in 2020 and players like Devin Singletary and JuJu Smith-Schuster as busts last season. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2021, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them. 

Top 2021 Fantasy football sleepers 

One of the 2021 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Lions receiver Tyrell Williams. Detroit’s passing offense has question marks, but Williams steps into an opportunity to be the top Lions receiver with Marvin Jones now in Jacksonville and Kenny Golladay landing with the Giants. The big-play potential is certainly there.

Williams averaged 15.5 yards-per-reception with the Raiders in 2020, a mark that tied for 14th in the league. He could be targeted over 100 times in Detroit, so there’s a lot of late-round upside with this pick. The latest 2021 Fantasy football ADP shows Williams going off in the 14th round, but SportsLine’s model says he’s a better value than multiple 10th-round options, including Michael Pittman, Antonio Brown and Jaylen Waddle.

Top 2021 Fantasy football breakouts 

The model is also projecting Dolphins tight end Mike Gesicki as one of its top 2021 Fantasy Football breakouts. In his third season, Gesicki quietly ranked sixth among tight ends in fantasy points thanks to 53 receptions for 703 yards and six touchdowns. He was at his best when it mattered the most, as only Travis Kelce and Darren Waller averaged more fantasy points than Gesicki over the last eight weeks of the regular season.

That stretch of the season coincided with Tua Tagovailoa becoming the team’s starting quarterback and now the duo get a full offseason to build even more chemistry together. The Dolphins adding speedsters Will Fuller V and Jaylen Waddle should only help Gesicki, as their ability to take the top off the defense will open up more underneath routes for the burly tight end. SportsLine’s model has Gesicki flirting with the top 10 again at his position and on par with players like Irv Smith and Tyler Higbee who have a 2021 Fantasy football ADP one round earlier than Gesicki.

Top 2021 Fantasy football busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan as one of its top 2021 Fantasy football busts. Ryan finished second in Fantasy points among quarterbacks in 2018 and has been a fringe top-10 Fantasy QB the past two seasons. But there are obvious concerns for Ryan in 2021 after the Falcons traded star receiver Julio Jones to the Titans.

Ryan is still going off the board close to the top 100 picks, according to the latest 2021 Fantasy football ADP. But SportsLine’s model doesn’t see him as a QB1 option this season and even ranks Derek Carr, who is going off the board 20 picks later than Ryan, as a better option. You can also get similar value from quarterbacks like Tua Tagovailoa and Baker Mayfield later in drafts, so Ryan is one of the Fantasy football busts 2021 to steer clear of. 

How to find proven 2021 Fantasy football football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren’t even thinking about being drafted in the middle rounds of 2021 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-five option ahead of superstars like Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. You can only see who it is, and the 2020 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2021 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-five performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2021 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Josh Allen’s huge season, and find out.


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