Fantasy Football Rankings 2021: Sleepers, breakouts, busts from NFL simulation that nailed Allen’s big year

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Running backs and receivers will be the most common 2021 Fantasy football picks in the early rounds. However, dynamic quarterbacks like Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert and Lamar Jackson are all going off in the top 30 overall, according to the latest 2021 Fantasy football ADP. Allen and Jackson, in particular, not only produce traditional passing stats, but can also function as an extra RB2 given the number of plays they use their feet. That’s why they’re flying up the 2021 Fantasy football rankings.

It might make sense to grab one of those quarterbacks early, but that approach could also leave your roster thin on high-end receivers and running backs. How should you make those decisions, and who are the 2021 Fantasy football sleepers, breakouts and busts throughout drafts? Before setting your 2021 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2021 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Bills quarterback Josh Allen was being drastically undervalued. His Fantasy football ADP was barely in the top 70, but the model pegged him as a top-five Fantasy quarterback, a QB1 who would finish well ahead of players like Kyler Murray, Tom Brady and Drew Brees. Allen ended up being the No. 2-scoring Fantasy QB, outscoring all three of those other quarterbacks and even surpassing Patrick Mahomes. Fantasy players who followed SportsLine’s advice reaped plenty of value with that pick. 

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying A.J. Brown as another sleeper in 2020 and players like Devin Singletary and JuJu Smith-Schuster as busts last season. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2021, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them. 

Top 2021 Fantasy football sleepers 

One of the 2021 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Texans running back Rex Burkhead. He showed flashes of Fantasy relevance in New England, but was always seemingly caught up in Bill Belichick’s revolving backfield. He’ll have competition in Houston as well with David Johnson and Mark Ingram among the other options, but SportsLine’s model likes the versatile back’s upside.

The latest NFL Fantasy football ADP shows Burkhead going off in the 15th round, barely inside the top 175 picks overall. The model says he’s a much better value than other backs going off the board much earlier, however. He’s set to outperform James White (12th-round ADP), Tony Pollard (12th) and even Nyheim Hines (11th), making Burkhead one of the overlooked Fantasy football sleepers 2021 you should be all over.

Top 2021 Fantasy football breakouts 

The model is also projecting Rams running back Xavier Jones as one of its top 2021 Fantasy Football breakouts. The latest Fantasy football ADP 2021 shows Jones isn’t being drafted in many leagues. Yet Jones has a great chance to be the backup running back in Los Angeles and could be a high-upside handcuff for Darrell Henderson with Cam Akers (Achilles) done for the year.

Jones didn’t record any carries as a rookie out of SMU in 2020, but he’s reportedly shown flashes in training camp. It’s also notable that Los Angeles hasn’t rushed out to find veteran help at running back, perhaps indicating that they feel comfortable with Jones helping carry the load. SportsLine’s model projects that he’ll outperform running backs like AJ Dillon (11th-round ADP) and Zack Moss (10th), so there’s no reason to use a pick near the top 100 on players such as those when Jones will likely be available much later in Fantasy football drafts. 

Top 2021 Fantasy football busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists Buccaneers wide receiver Antonio Brown as one of its biggest 2021 Fantasy football busts. The former All-Pro showed flashes of the form that made him a generational talent as Brown posted 45 catches for 483 yards and four touchdowns in just eight games of action last year. He underwent offseason knee surgery and then re-signed with the Bucs to return as their No. 3 receiver.

At 33, Brown still has enough left in the tank, but what he won’t have in 2021 are opportunities to make a discernible Fantasy football impact. There are still plenty of mouths to feed in Tampa and Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Rob Gronkowski all eat before Brown does. The Bucs also figure to be more balanced on offense in 2021 after ranking second in passing, but 28th in rushing last year. That will further cut into Brown’s targets, and while he’s being drafted in the same round as players like T.Y. Hilton and Marvin Jones, the SportsLine model has Brown far behind those other receivers in 2021 Fantasy football rankings.

How to find proven 2021 Fantasy football football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren’t even thinking about being drafted in the middle rounds of 2021 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-five option ahead of superstars like Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. You can only see who it is, and the 2020 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2021 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-five performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2021 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Josh Allen’s huge season, and find out.



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