Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin odds, line: 2021 college football picks, Week 4 predictions from model on 72-58 run

The No. 18 Wisconsin Badgers have played four games against ranked opponents since the beginning of the 2020 season and were favored in each contest. They couldn’t have fared worse in those matchups, losing all four while scoring 10 or fewer points in each setback. The Badgers hope to halt that trend when they square off against the No. 12 Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Saturday. Wisconsin last faced a ranked team on Sept. 4, when it dropped a 16-10 decision to then-No. 19 Penn State in its 2021 season opener.

Kickoff at Soldier Field in Chicago is set for noon ET. The Badgers are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 45. Before locking in any Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame picks, make sure you see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on a 72-58 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame:

  • Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame spread: Badgers -6.5
  • Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame over-under: 45 points
  • Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame money line: Badgers -230, Fighting Irish +190
  • WIS: The Badgers are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven non-conference games
  • ND: The Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last five overall contests

Featured Game | Wisconsin Badgers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Why Wisconsin can cover

The Badgers are second in the nation in total defense and first against the run, so as a result, they also lead the country in possession time. Wisconsin, which has given up an average of 33 yards on the ground and 194.5 overall, has held on to the ball for 40 minutes, 57 seconds per contest. The Badgers have registered only four sacks thus far but are expected to get back junior linebacker Leo Chenal, who notched three in seven games last year but missed the first two contests in 2021 due to COVID-19.

After losing its season opener against Penn State, Wisconsin took out its frustration on Eastern Michigan, erupting for 518 total yards — including 352 on the ground. Juniors Chez Mellusi (144) and Isaac Guerendo (92) accounted for the lion’s share of the rushing yards, and each also ran for a touchdown. Freshmen Jalen Berger and Braelon Allen made their debuts and also scored while adding 62 and 30 yards, respectively.

Why Notre Dame can cover

Graduate transfer Jack Coan could give the Fighting Irish an advantage after spending four years with the Badgers. He went 12-6 as a starter and appeared in a total of 25 games for Wisconsin, completing 68 percent of his pass attempts for 3,278 yards with 23 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Coan has thrown for 828 yards with eight TD passes and two picks in his first three contests with Notre Dame.

Coan had a pair of scoring tosses against the Boilermakers last Saturday, including a 39-yarder to Kyren Williams. The sophomore running back also carried the ball 12 times for 91 yards and a touchdown. Williams finished with 168 all-purpose yards, the third-highest total of his career, and is 20th in the nation with an average of 133.3 this season. 

How to make Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 37 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.  

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