Padres 2022 season preview: Projected lineup, rotation and three questions about San Diego

The San Diego Padres are coming off probably the most disappointing team-level seasons within the sport. Final season was alleged to be their 12 months; their massive likelihood at dethroning the Dodgers and eradicating their grip on the Nationwide League West. 

It turned out that the Dodgers did not win the West, finally, however it wasn’t due to the Padres’ doing. Relatively, whereas San Diego was falling aside late within the 12 months, crumbling to a sub-.500 report, it was the San Francisco Giants who emerged as the brand new western drive.

After an uncharacteristically quiet winter, can the Padres return to competition? 

Win complete projection, odds

  • 2021 report: 79-83 (third in NL West)
  • 2022 Sportsline projection: 87-75
  • World Sequence odds (by way of William Hill Sportsbook): +1800

Projected lineup

  1. Trent Grisham, CF
  2. Manny Machado, 3B
  3. Jake Cronenworth, 2B
  4. Luke Voit, DH
  5. Wil Myers, RF
  6. Eric Hosmer, 1B
  7. Austin Nola, C
  8. Jurickson Profar, LF
  9. Ha-Seong Kim, SS

Final season’s Padres ranked 14th in each runs scored and wRC+, a catch-all metric housed at FanGraphs that adjusts for park and different variables. It is truthful to put in writing that is beneath what the Padres anticipated from their beginning 9. A.J. Preller did not do a lot to change his hitting crop this winter, deciding on buying Luke Voit, Jorge Alfaro and Matt Beaty and refiguring the bench, probably with non-roster invitees like Trayce Thompson and Domingo Leyba. One notable title lacking from above is Fernando Tatis Jr. He’ll miss the beginning of the season following wrist surgical procedure stemming from a motorbike accident. Do not be shocked to see prime prospects CJ Abrams and Luis Campusano attain the majors by summertime. 

Projected rotation

  1. Joe Musgrove, RHP
  2. Yu Darvish, RHP
  3. Blake Snell, LHP
  4. Mike Clevinger, RHP
  5. Nick Martínez, RHP

The Padres can be making two potential additions to their beginning 5, in Clevinger and Martínez. Clevinger missed all of final season following Tommy John surgical procedure. Martínez, in the meantime, is again from a stint abroad. The highest three starters are all getting into their second full season with the Padres. Ought to anybody falter or require a stint on the IL, the Padres might name upon Chris Paddack, Ryan Weathers, or MacKenzie Gore, amongst different younger, modest choices. 

Projected bullpen

It isn’t clear who the Padres can have closing video games for them. We’re placing down Johnson as a result of he has probably the most closer-like title. Mark Melancon, who led San Diego with 39 saves final season, is now with the Diamondbacks. No different member of the Padres roster recorded multiple save. Of the names listed above, solely García and Suarez (one other addition from abroad) are new names to the group. 

And now for 3 questions in regards to the 2022 Padres.

1. Who steps up throughout Tatis’ absence? 

Assuming Tatis misses a pair months recovering from his wrist surgical procedure, the Padres should play greater than a 3rd of their schedule with out their finest participant. That is not best, to put in writing the least.

If there’s a silver lining for the Padres, it is that they’ve some inner choices who might assist hold them afloat. One is Ha-Seong Kim, the South Korean infielder who noticed motion at varied positions final season. CBS Sports activities not too long ago tabbed him as a breakout candidate, writing the next: 

Kim is not the flashiest defender. He isn’t on the market stretching the bounds of what individuals imagine a shortstop can do, the way in which Javier Báez does. He’s, nonetheless, a high quality defender who makes all of the performs with sturdy method. Now that Kim has had time to regulate to life in America and within the majors, we expect it is attainable that his bat ticks up, too. We’re basing this totally on comfortable elements, human elements, somewhat than any underlying trace present in his information. If Kim’s bat does perk up, he’ll be a nifty little participant.

If Kim fails to impress in his second 12 months within the States, the Padres might at all times flip to prospect CJ Abrams. He is a speedster who may very well be San Diego’s shortstop of the longer term anyway, with Tatis probably transferring to the outfield. 

The catch with Abrams is that he missed most of final season due to a damaged leg. He hit .296/.363/.420 in Double-A when he was wholesome, although, and Preller and crew may really feel they don’t have any different alternative however to carry him up shortly if he does properly in his first few weeks at Triple-A.

Neither Kim nor Abrams will match Tatis’ impact-caliber play; probably the most the Padres can hope for is minimizing their lack of manufacturing till Tatis rejoins the membership. 

2. Will rotation stay as much as hype?

Final 12 months, the reply was “no.” Musgrove was nice and looks like the surest factor San Diego has within the beginning 5. Darvish and Snell had uneven seasons whereas Clevinger, as we famous above, missed 2021. On paper, this group has an opportunity to be value all of the spilled ink. There’s a substantial amount of uncertainty with every, nevertheless.

Darvish was electrical within the early going. He had a 2.44 ERA by his first 16 begins, however from the start of July onward issues went awry. He made 14 extra appearances the remainder of the way in which, amassing a 6.65 ERA and permitting extra hits than innings pitched. Darvish did undergo a hip harm in August that sidelined him for 2 weeks, however it’s unclear how a lot his bodily state performed into his decline. 

Snell labored in reverse of Darvish. He entered August with a 5.44 ERA and 55 walks in his first 84 innings with San Diego. Snell bought into gear late, ending sturdy in his ultimate eight outings. His totals included 44 innings, 14 walks, and a 1.83 ERA. As with Darvish, we all know Snell has extra expertise than his general numbers indicated. The important thing for the Padres is determining find out how to stop each from having one other extended rut.

As for Clevinger, a full restoration from Tommy John surgical procedure is the most definitely situation. There are at all times exceptions, nevertheless, and it is unclear what sort of innings restriction (if any) the Padres can have him on that would restrict his impression. 

Ought to all three pitch as they’re able to, San Diego might discipline one of many strongest rotations within the sport.

3. Who’s the brand new teaching workers?

Lest we overlook to say, the Padres have a brand new supervisor. Jayce Tingler took the autumn for San Diego’s disappointing 2021, paving the way in which for the Padres to rent Bob Melvin from the Athletics. San Diego additionally poached Ryan Christenson (bench coach) from the A’s, and tabbed Ruben Niebla, beforehand of the Guardians, as their pitching coach.

Melvin, 60, is the main focus right here. He is actually bringing extra expertise to the desk than Tingler did, having already managed in components of 18 different seasons. He is amassed a .514 successful proportion throughout that point, main seven golf equipment to the postseason alongside the way in which.

Melvin, particularly throughout his time with the Athletics, garnered a popularity for getting probably the most from his gamers. The Padres positive hope he lives as much as that billing. 


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