Poll: Arizona’s top candidates include mix of GOP, Democrats

(The Center Square) – A new poll shows the top five most electable leaders in Arizona are a mix of Republicans and Democrats.

Noble Predictive Insights recently released its power rankings of Arizona’s popular political figures.

Arizona registered voters chose U.S. Sen. Ruben Gallego, D-Arizona, as the top political candidate in the state, according to the survey. Right behind him were Republican congressional candidate Jay Feely, who was an NFL kicker, and Ruben Gallego’s ex-wife, Kate Gallego, who is the Democratic Phoenix mayor.

Mike Noble, NPI’s CEO, told The Center Square that Gallegos have “done a good job navigating Arizona politics.”

Ruben Gallego has positioned himself well, Noble said, adding that Kate Gallego has “done a good job as Phoenix mayor.”

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Both Gallegos have avoided controversies, Noble said.

Ruben Gallego, a former U.S. House member, started his six-year term in the Senate in 2025.

Feely, the football player-turned-candidate, has strong name identification and net favorability, as well as strong scores in the demographic and experience categories, Noble said.

Rounding out the top five were Republican Arizona State Treasurer Kimberly Yee and Democratic Secretary of State Adrian Fontes.

When the power rankings expanded to the top 10, they became dominated by Democrats, Noble noted. People ranked sixth through 10 were all Democrats. This means 70% of the top 10 rankings were Democrats.

“Democrats have a deeper bench than Republicans in the state that Republicans used to dominate five years ago,” Noble noted.

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In 10th place was Gov. Katie Hobbs. In a previous NPI poll, the Democratic governor’s favorability ranking dropped by 5 points from February 2025 to December 2025.

According to Noble, Hobbs’ ranking is a “decent number,” but shows she “might have a little work to do” as she seeks reelection this year.

The power rankings show Hobbs ranks well ahead of her potential opponents. Hobbs will face the winner of the Republican primary in the Nov. 3 general election.

Noble described U.S. Rep. David Schweikert, R-Scottsdale, ranking as being in the “middle of the pack,” whereas fellow Republican Karrin Taylor Robson and U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs, R-Gilbert, scored in the bottom 10 of 50 candidates.

Among Republican respondents, Biggs and Schweikert scored much higher than Taylor Robson.

In the Republican-registered voter power rankings, Biggs ranked sixth and Schweikert ranked seventh, while Taylor Robson ranked 17th, Noble said.

Biggs and Schweikert “look a little stronger with the Republican primary than” Taylor Robson, Noble noted.

Among Republican-registered Arizona voters, the top political candidates were former Gov. Doug Ducey, former Senate candidate Kari Lake and Turning Point USA CEO Erika Kirk, the widow of assassinated conservative leader Charlie Kirk.

For Democratic-registered Arizona voters, Hobbs came in first, followed by Sen. Mark Kelly, D-Arizona, and Ruben Gallego.

Also, Gallego came in first among independent Arizona registered voters. Next were Kelly and Hobbs.

In the NPI’s “Demographic and Experience Score,” the top three rankings were Fontes, Phoenix City Councilmember Carlos Garcia and Yee.

These rankings factored in name identification, net favorability and demographic experience, which is someone’s resume, Noble said.

Fontes, Garcia and Yee are “very electable” in the future, Noble said.

NPI’s poll had an error rate of ±3.08 %.

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