Poll: Dolan overtakes Moreno in GOP U.S. Senate primary

(The Center Square) – A new poll shows state Sen. Matt Dolan pushed ahead of businessman and Donald Trump-endorsed Bernie Moreno ahead of Tuesday’s Ohio Republican primary for a U.S. Senate seat.

Emerson College’s poll of 1,300 registered voters released Wednesday showed Dolan with 26% support, 3 percentage points ahead of Moreno. Secretary of State Frank LaRose, the one-time frontrunner, fell to just 16%. However, 32% of respondents remain undecided.

The poll, conducted Thursday through Saturday, has +/- 2.6% margin of error.

Dolan’s jump to the lead is a 10-point swing since Emerson’s last poll in January.

“Overall, Dolan is the third candidate to lead the Republican Primary ballot this year in Emerson polls: LaRose led in November, Moreno surged in January, and now Dolan has voters’ attention,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “The shifting dynamics have left many a significant number of voters undecided with less than a week until Election Day.”

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In a matchup with incumbent Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown all three candidates lose, according to the poll.

In one-on-one hypotheticals, Brown holds leads of 37%-34% over Dolan, 39%-34% over Moreno, and 39%-33% over LaRose.

“Since the January poll, Brown’s support has remained relatively consistent, while support for the Republican candidates has decreased from 37% to an average of 34%,” Kimball said. “Brown continues to hold a base of women voters who are 7-10 points more supportive of him than the Republican candidates.”

The poll showed about 8% of Trump voters plan to vote for Brown, while 2% of President Joe Biden voters plan to vote for a Republican candidate.

Trump holds a 50%-41% lead over Biden, with 9% undecided.

According to the poll, 59% of Biden supporters said the president’s age raised doubts for them. Half of the Trump supporters said the former president’s criminal indictments raised concerns.

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Overall, the economy was the top issue for Ohio voters, with 34% saying it was the biggest issue, followed by immigration, threats to democracy, crime, abortion access, and education.

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