Election 2026: Weekly gain of independents bests major parties’ 6 months

(The Center Square) – Since the first Saturday in January, Democrats have a net gain of 2,608 voter registrations in North Carolina.

That’s more than 1,100 less than the past week’s gain by the unaffiliated bloc. Trends are real, and the voter registrations of the state remain clearly pointed in the direction of independence.

Republicans are not faring any better. Since Jan. 10, they’ve picked up 3,769 – or 98 fewer than this past week’s unaffiliated gains.

Saturday’s update from the State Board of Elections totaled 7,797,297 total registrations, with 39.8% unaffiliated (3,104,288); 29.8% Republicans (2,326,262); and 29.7% Democrats (2,315,598).

The total volume rose 4,415 in the most recent seven-day reporting period, with 3,867 unaffiliated, 363 Republicans and 158 Democrats.

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Voter roll maintenance, standard and as required by law, and a trend away from parties since Election Day 2024 has continued to swell the independents and weaken the major parties with regard to registrations.

For the 2026 midterms on Nov. 3, absentee ballots go into the mail Sept. 4 – or eight weeks from this coming Friday. North Carolinians will choose a U.S. senator, all 14 members of the U.S. House, and all 170 members of the General Assembly.

For context in the change of landscape, at what is generally considered a landmark Election Day in 2008, the state’s total registrations were 6,264,733. Those unaffiliated numbered just under 1.4 million (22.2%) while Democrats’ 2,866,669 had 45.8% share and Republicans’ 2,002,416 was a 32% share. Barack Obama became the first Democrat since Jimmy Carter in 1976 to carry the state, by a mere 14,177 votes of more than 4.3 million cast, on the way to winning the White House.

The state’s lone U.S. Senate seat was won by Democrat Kay Hagan, and the 13 U.S. House seats were divvied up eight Democrats and five Republicans.

The Council of State went 8-2 to Democrats. Incumbent Republicans’ Steve Troxler and Cherie Berry remained commissioners of agriculture and labor, respectively. And the General Assembly was 30-20 Democrats in the Senate and 68-52 Democrats in the House of Representatives.

Today, Republicans have won the state in the presidential race 13 of the last 15 contests (1968-present), five consecutive U.S. Senate races (2010-present), and two years ago captured 10 of 14 seats for the U.S. House.

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The Council of State is a 5-5 split. On Election Day 2024, the General Assembly majorities were 30-20 Republicans in the Senate and 71-49 Republicans in the House of Representatives.

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