spot_imgspot_img

Trump 3-for-3 in North Carolina’s post-debate polls

(The Center Square) – Three samplings in battleground North Carolina have been initiated since last week’s presidential debate, and Republican former President Donald Trump has led Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris in each.

All, however, remain within the margin of error. And a close finish through 49 more days to Nov. 5 is anticipated by nationwide analysts watching the state.

On the heels of his 1.7% lead from the Quantus Polls and News analysis released Friday, Trump over the weekend picked up a 48.9%-45.9% edge from AmericanGreatness/TIPP Insights and 48.4%-46% from The Trafalgar Group. Sponsors, respectively, were Trending Politics, American Greatness and Trafalgar Group.

RealClear Polling, without the Quantus sampling, has the state remaining statistically even at Trump plus 0.4%. There is no margin of error factored in, though most polls range from nearly 3% to at or just under 4%. This means both candidates, in overall measure, are about 3% away from saying he or she leads the state.

Project 538 also computes Trump ahead by 0.4% at 47.5%-47.1%.

North Carolina is among seven states considered pivotal to this election, the group collectively holding 93 electoral college votes. Pennsylvania has 19, North Carolina and Georgia 16 each, Michigan 15, Arizona 11, Wisconsin 10 and Nevada six.

To wit on importance, Harris was in the state last Thursday, her running mate Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz on Tuesday, Trump’s running mate U.S. Sen. J.D. Vance of Ohio comes Wednesday, and Trump is slated for weather-battered Wilmington on Saturday.

Trafalgar Group surveyed 1,094 likely voters on Wednesday and Thursday of last week and had a 2.9% margin of error. American Greatness surveyed 973 likely voters on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday and a had a 3.2% margin of error.

Since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, the only Democrats in 14 election cycles since to carry North Carolina were Jimmy Carter (1976) and Barack Obama (2008). Neither repeated four years later.

Trump has won the state twice, beating Hillary Clinton in 2016 and the ticket of Joe Biden-Harris in 2020. The differences were narrow, 49.8%-46.2% over Clinton and 49.9%-48.6% over Biden.

American Greatness was created in 2016, billing itself as “the leading voice of the next generation of American Conservatism.” TechnoMetrica conducted the American Greatness/TIPP survey.

Trafalgar polls and surveys originated in 2016. It is based in Atlanta; does release methodology for its polling contrary to published reports; and boasts of an “approach to polling” that “is markedly different from most of the industry.” RealClear Politics named it the best polling firm of the 2016 presidential race in a remarkable rookie of the year accomplishment.

Quantus Polls and News, acquired since the poll came out by Quantus Insights, operates off the emerging substack journalism model. It provides election forecasting, economic and political analysis and commentary.

DON’T MISS OUT

Be the first to know about the latest news, giveaways, events, and updates from The Black Chronicle!

We don’t spam! Read our privacy policy for more info.

spot_imgspot_img
spot_img

Hot this week

African and Caribbean Nations Call for Reparations for Slave Trade, Propose Global Fund

Nations across Africa and the Caribbean, deeply impacted by...

Health care company agrees to pay $22.5 million to settle claims of over billing

A health care company agreed to pay nearly $22.5...

Sports betting expert offers advice on paying taxes for gambling winnings

(The Center Square) – Tax season is underway, and...

Entertainment district benefits don’t outweigh the cost, economists say

(The Center Square) — Weeks later, after more details...

Business association ‘disappointed’ by WA L&I’s proposed workers comp rate hike

(The Center Square) – The Association of Washington Business...

A lot of polls, not a lot of change in Harris v. Trump

(The Center Square) – Four days later and with...

Trump rises in Virginia poll as election nears, still lags Harris

(The Center Square) — Former President Donald Trump has...

Next president must address U.S. debt, Moody’s warns

A credit rating agency's report on the upcoming presidential...

Former Morning View Dairy owners agree to pay $70K for pollution fish kill

(The Center Square) – The former owners and operators...

Trial date set in WSDOT gas price whistleblower lawsuit

(The Center Square) – A trial date has been...

More like this
Related

A lot of polls, not a lot of change in Harris v. Trump

(The Center Square) – Four days later and with...

Louisiana water commission hears requests for extensions, funding for projects

(The Center Square) − At the latest Water Sector...

Judge denies Illinois’ motion to hold transit carry ban ruling pending appeal

(The Center Square) – A federal judge has denied...

Trump rises in Virginia poll as election nears, still lags Harris

(The Center Square) — Former President Donald Trump has...