Tokyo Olympics 2020 baseball semifinal odds, predictions: Japan vs. South Korea picks from proven expert


South Korea can return to baseball’s gold medal game when it takes on host country Japan in a semifinal of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics on Wednesday at Yokohama Baseball Stadium. The last time baseball was an Olympic sport, in 2008 in Beijing, the South Koreans won the gold medal. That same year Japan reached the bronze medal game but lost to the United States. The loser on Wednesday will drop into the loser’s bracket and be forced to win a game to reach the gold medal game. 

First pitch is set for 6 a.m. ET. Japan is the -280 favorite (risk $280 to win $100) in the latest Japan vs. South Korea odds from Caesars Sportsbook while South Korea is the +230 underdog. The over-under for total runs scored is eight. Before finalizing any South Korea vs. USA picks or Olympic baseball predictions, be sure to see what SportsLine baseball expert Matt Snyder has to say.

A former player for Indiana University and a member of the Baseball Writers’ Association of America, Snyder has been a baseball writer with CBS Sports since 2011. CBS Sports’ longest-tenured baseball expert combines simple logic learned from his baseball-playing days with an extensive background in analytics. He went 26-18 in the 2020 MLB playoffs, including 8-4 on World Series bets. Anybody who followed him saw some huge returns. 

Now, Snyder has studied the Japan vs. South Korea baseball matchup and revealed his expert picks and predictions. You can see his top 2020 Olympics picks only at SportsLine. Here are the latest Olympics baseball odds and betting trends for South Korea vs. Japan:

  • Japan vs. South Korea run line: Japan -1.5
  • Japan vs. South Korea over-under: 8 runs
  • Japan vs. South Korea money line: Japan -280, South Korea +230
  • JAP: Team averages 6.0 runs per game, which is tied for first
  • KOR: South Korea leads the Olympics in batting average (.329)

Why you should back Japan

In a quest to win gold on home soil, Japan has fielded a team of domestic professional stars. The Japanese roster features center fielder Yuki Yanagita, who won the Pacific League MVP and Japan Series MVP awards last season, as well as former Central League MVP Tetsudo Yamada and former Central League batting champion Seiya Suzuki.

In addition, Japan will have its ace on the mound in Yoshinobu Yamamoto. A righty with a 98 mile per hour fastball and who is highly coveted by MLB teams, Yamamoto has a 1.82 ERA in 113.2 innings this season. He went six scoreless innings with nine strikeouts against the Dominican Republic earlier in the Olympics and will be on six-days’ rest.

Why you should back South Korea

The South Koreans have pitched better than Japan so far in Tokyo. South Korea has a 3.44 ERA so far in the Olympics, which ranks second in the field behind the United States. In the South Koreans’ last game, they limited Israel to one run on three hits in an 11-1 victory. Meanwhile Japan has a 4.18 ERA, which ranks fourth.

In addition, South Korea has dominated the series against Japan in the Olympics. The South Koreans haven’t lost to Japan in the Summer Games since 1996 though baseball has not been an Olympic sport since 2008.

How to make 2020 Tokyo Olympics baseball picks for South Korea vs. Japan

Snyder is going under on the total and he’s also found a critical x-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the run line. Head to SportsLine now to see Tierney’s 2020 Olympic baseball picks. 

So who wins Japan vs. South Korea in this group-stage game? And what critical x-factor do you need to know about? Visit SportsLine now to get Matt Snyder’s best bet for Japan vs. South Korea, all from the expert who has crushed his baseball picks, and find out.


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